The Toronto Maple Leafs face the Vegas Golden Knights on January 15, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. This NHL matchup at 9:30 p.m. ET airs on ESPN and carries intrigue from Mitch Marner's summer 2025 sign-and-trade to Vegas.

Team Standings and Form

Toronto holds a 23-16-7 record (53 points), placing fourth in the Atlantic Division behind Tampa Bay, Detroit, and Montreal. Vegas sits at 21-11-12 (54 points), leading the Pacific ahead of Edmonton and Seattle. 

Toronto averages 3.38 goals per game (5th league-wide) with 26.80 shots (23th), while Vegas scores 3.25 goals per game (T10th) with 28.8 shots (10th) and ranks 4th on power play at 26.12%; defensively, Toronto allows 3.63 goals (T29th) and Vegas 2.96 (T15th).

The Leafs struggle on the road at 7-11-2, while Vegas goes 10-6-6 at home with a 5-3-2 mark in their last 10.

Toronto Maple Leafs @ Vegas Golden Knights - (Knights ML)

The Strip is set for a high-stakes showdown Thursday night as the Toronto Maple Leafs (23–16–7) head into T-Mobile Arena to face the Vegas Golden Knights (21–11–12). While the Leafs have adopted a grittier, "North-South" identity under Craig Berube, currently leading the league in hits, they aren't just battling a system; they're battling a piece of their own history.

For the first time since the blockbuster summer trade, Mitch Marner squares off against his former team. Marner has been a revelation in the desert, racking up 46 points (10G, 36A) through 44 games and entering tonight on a "heater" with three multi-point performances in his last four outings. He forms a terrifying triple threat alongside Jack Eichel, who leads the team with 48 points, and Tomas Hertl, who has found a second wind in Vegas with 18 goals.

While Toronto has found their footing lately with a strong 7–2–1 run, their road performance remains a significant hurdle. The Leafs are a dominant 16–5–5 at home but have struggled to find that same consistency on the road, posting a 7–11–2 record away from Scotiabank Arena. Conversely, Vegas has made T-Mobile Arena a "graveyard for visitors," holding a firm grip on the Pacific Division lead thanks to a clinical transition game that exploits aggressive forechecking teams like Toronto.

Goaltending will be pivotal. With Toronto’s Anthony Stolarz (upper body) on IR, the workload has fallen to Joseph Woll, who has 11 wins but faces a Vegas squad averaging over 3.25 goals per game. Vegas will likely counter with Akira Schmid, who has emerged as their top option with 13 wins and a solid 2.49 GAA. Between Toronto’s road fatigue at the end of a trip and the immense psychological weight of the Marner "revenge" narrative, the advantage lies with the home side.

Identifying the value in "revenge games" and road-home splits requires more than just looking at the back of a hockey card; it requires tracking line chemistry and goaltending fatigue in real-time. Bankroll U is the premier resource for bettors who want to stay ahead of the curve, providing the sharp analysis and expert picks from our playmakers to help you identify when a narrative meets the numbers. Whether you're tracking Marner's impact in Vegas or Toronto's hits-per-game under Berube, our platform gives you the intelligence to bet with confidence. Elevate your game and build your bankroll with Bankroll U.

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